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# With federal elections, as with love, sometimes you just know. Australia does not change governments very often. In the past 60 years, there have been 23 federal elections and only five changes of government. When the majority of voters are getting ready to turf out a prime minister, you can generally get a feel for it ...
Premature election pulse-taking around blogging pajamahadeens suggests that the major parties will be the biggest losers in this election.

The following seats are the ones neither party takes for granted:
Savvy Matt Liddy of Poll Vault Fame Compiles National Stories about the Seats That Matter More Than Equality - Political Farm of 2004
• Marginal Roosters and Buldogs In NSW [Baker’s Dozen - XIII]: Banks (of the Electoral River), *Bennelong (Electoral Dream), Cowper (Mareaiouy) , Dobell (Doorbell (sic)), #Eden-Monaro (Swingers’ Paradise), Greenway (Smogway) , Lindsay, Lowe (pronounced Love Village Voice: Lowe), #MaCarthur, Page , Parramatta, Paterson, Richmond, *Wentworth.
• Marginal Seats In Victoria [Dirty Dozen - XII]: Ballarat, Bendigo, Chisholm, Corangamite, Deakin, Dunkley, Gippsland, Jagajaga, La Trobe, McEwen, McMillan, Melbourne Ports
• Marginal Seats In Queensland [Baker’s Nine - X]: Bonner, Bowman, Brisbane, Herbert, Hinkler, Lilley, Longman, Moreton, Petrie, Rankin
• Marginal Seats In WA [Half a Dozen - VI]: Canning, Cowan, Hasluck, Kalgoorlie, Stirling, Swan
• Velvet Seats In SA [V]: SA Big Screen ; Adelaide, Hindmarsh, Kingston, Makin, Wakefield
• Marginal Seats In NT [II]: Lingiari, Solomon
• Marginal Seats In Tassie [I]: Bass

Fairfax Digital presents NSW Seat by Seat
Channel Nine Presents Panel and swinging voters: Part I of V
Limited News Unpredictable Seats: According to Uncle Rupert
The most respected politician in the world, former independent, MP Ted Mack, (a pipe smoking - Aromatic Scandinavic- architect) discusses the challenge of the independents; [Troy Rollo lists Independents: Trojan Horses]
According to Google, Aussie Marginal Seats of 2004 AD

Eye on Edges and Margins: Hung Parliament Prepares For People Victory House of Cards: Jagajaga Jada Jada
The cynic's view of elections has always been that whoever you vote for, you always end up with a politician.
Afterall, then Daily Telegraph editor Col Allan gloated to Crikey on the Monday after the 1998 election that John Howard had rung him on the Sunday to say that his election day splash Labor set to seize power had helped him retain a couple of key NSW seats. Col said he used the word "seize" to deliberately create the impression Labor was getting something it didn't deserve.
Ach, depending where you are, the election will be determined in western Sydney, along Melbourne's Scoresby Freeway route, by voters in the trio of key Adelaide marginals. Even Territorians are being told the result could all hinge on Australia's most marginal seat of Solomon, which takes in Darwin...
Barrie Cassidy: There are two key bellwether seats to watch during the 2004 federal election campaign, and remarkably, Mark Latham lives in both of them Macarthur and Eden Monaro
• Great Unreadable Election: Eden-Monaro and MaCarthur are renowed throughout the land as they seats that are always won by whoever wins the election ; [ ABC Eden-Monaro; SMH Eden-Monaro; Google the Reader’s Paradise Eden-Monaro]
[David Burchell marginalises Macarthur ; Google the Reader’s Paradise Macarthur ]
• All Amerikan Eyes are on Bennelong ; John Howard (Liberal); Nicole Campbell (Labor); Andrew Wilkie (Greens); Peter Goldfinch (Democrats); Ray Levick (CDP); Troy Rollo (Independent); Gary Hannah (Independent); [Google the Reader’s Paradise Bennelong ; Benelong]]
• · Parramatta: The Liberals' success in Parramatta and Lindsay over the past three elections has been seen as paradigmatic of John Howard's electoral achievement [Ross Cameron (Liberal); Julie Owens (Labor); Doug Williamson (Greens); Robert McFarlane (Democrats); John Satchwell (One Nation); Sam Baissari (CDP); Andrew Markwell (Family First); Mark Antony Guest (LFF); Alex Peniazev (NCP); Simon Saad (No GST); Margaret Bloor (SAS)]
• · · Say Lindsay [Jackie Kelly (Liberal); David Bradbury (Labor); Gabrielle Worrall (Greens); Geraldine Waters (Democrats); Louise Kedwell (One Nation); John Phillips (CDP); Megan Watson (Family First); Bruce Anderson (CEC); Garth Derrig (No GST); Barbie Bates (SAS)]
• · · · Sydney trio of Macarthur, Lindsay and Hughes are also near the bottom (146, 140 and 137 respectively), choc-full of young families Hughes [Danna Vale (Liberal); Greg Holland (Labor); Lorraine Dixon (Greens);Rob Bunt (Democrats); John Vanderjagt (CDP); Bob Davis (VET)]; [Google the Reader’s Paradise Hughes]
• · · · · Cook [Bruce Baird (Liberal); Mark Buttigieg (Labor); Corey Birtles (Greens);David Mendelssohn (Democrats); Andy Frew (One Nation); Beth Smith (CDP); Graeme Strang (Independent); Peter Phillips (No GST)]
• · · · · · Wentworth [Peter King (Independent); Malcolm Turnbull (Liberal); David Patch (Labor); Mithra Cox (Greens); Lindy Morrison (Democrats); Leonie Hull (Family First); Robert Vogler (Independent); Pat Sheil (Independent); John Jamieson (CEC); Victor Shen (Fishing Party); Brian Buckley (No GST)]; [Google the Reader’s Paradise Wentworth]
• · · · · · · Peter Brent is publisher of mumble.com.au; [Mumble Blog]
• · · · · · · Matt Price Even Territorians are being told the result could all hinge on Australia's most marginal seat of Solomon, which takes in Darwin; [Election Will Be Close says Costello