Tech Influence Watch as AI follows crypto into politics
Molly White – citation needed: “I’ve been running my website Follow the Crypto since 2024, tracking the cryptocurrency industry’s influence on our democracy. The industry spent more than $130 million buying the 2024 elections, and the strategy worked. Pro-crypto politicians have proposed or passed industry-drafted legislation that threatens to open the floodgates to even more predatory crypto products, regulatory agencies were gutted, and crypto executives bought direct access to the President and positions in the White House. Now the artificial intelligence industry is following the same playbook. Continuing to track only crypto would mean missing half the story. The same operatives are running both campaigns. Josh Vlasto, longtime adviser and spokesperson for Fairshake — the cryptocurrency super PAC network responsible for the bulk of crypto’s 2024 spending — is now simultaneously heading Leading the Future, a pro-AI super PAC network. Chris Lehane, the political consultant and Coinbaseboard member who helped establish Fairshake and famously told Coinbase employees who questioned whether a crypto voter bloc existed that they would simply invent one, is now also an OpenAI executive and one of the people behind the Leading the Future PAC network. The same venture capital firms are funding both: Andreessen Horowitz, a crypto heavyweight in the 2024 elections, is now splitting its political spending across crypto and AI PACs. The PACs may look different from the outside, but they’re increasingly the same operation with aligned goals: deregulate the tech sector, slash consumer protections, and allow tech companies to capture even more enormous profits at the expense of everyday people.
- So I’ve expanded the site to track both. It’s now called Tech Influence Watch, and it documents more than $400 million(and counting) in contributions from crypto and AI companies and their executives this election cycle. When two industries with shared backers and shared operatives are spending this much to write their own regulations, someone needs to be watching.
- The site is live now at influence.citationneeded.news.a Here’s a little of what I found while building it…”
Who won the redistricting fight? GOP with +8 to +10 seats
Data is Beautiful: “The GOP is forecasted to pick up +8 to +10 U.S. House seats via legislative redistricting as new congressional maps are finalized. Legal challenges may still overturn some maps. Geographically, most projected GOP gains are concentrated in Deep South states which have a long history of Voting Rights Act litigation. Several of the key seat pickups come from districts previously created to provide Black representation (eg, TN, AL and LA). All states redistricting in favor of Democrats did so through a voter-approved map. All states redistricting in favor of Republicans did so through the state legislature or through the courts overturning a voter-approved map.
- Tools: Built by hand in React + TypeScript — the timeline chart and US choropleth are raw SVG (no D3 or charting libraries; state shapes from a public-domain Wikimedia map), driven by a JSON file of redistricting events, with live Polymarket odds as the only dynamic data.
- Methodology: Estimated seat impact for each enacted, court-approved, or voter-approved congressional redistricting action relative to the prior map. Ohio is shown as 0–2 GOP seats because previously safe Democratic districts became toss-ups rather than guaranteed GOP pickups. This is an isolated analysis of states that changed maps and is not a full 2026 House forecast. Used actual news stories and Polymarket data to corroborate confidence…”
























