Thursday, March 01, 2007

It is about time Dragon paid some attention to the NSW election to be held in 23 days on 24 March 2007. My prediction is hung Parliament, or widhful thinking dated 1991 when John Hatton and his charter 92 independents brought sunlight to the sunny Harbour City ... State Election 24 March 2007 especially what the Herald has to say Parties vie for biggest loser title

NSW Election 2007 - James Bond 007 Idle speculation: March edition: Morris Iemma v Peter Debnam
Skepticism about Labor’s figures has spilled over from Crikey, Tim Dunlop and this site and into the news pages of the Sydney Morning Herald, which reports suggestions from a "senior Liberal source" that ALP state secretary Mark Arbib was "making it up". The surveys reportedly had samples of 150 (which the Telegraph has thus far neglected to reveal), so the margin for error wouldn’t have been much different if he had been. Nonetheless, the Liberals went to some effort to debunk the alleged Labor findings, providing the Herald with a progress report of their own.

For those as keen on a punt as Mackerras, books on the election are being run by SportingBet, Centrebet, Sportsbet and Sports Acumen. They are currently offering short odds on Morris Iemma remaining Premier: $1.16 compared with $4.50 for Peter Debnam for each agency except Sports Acumen, which is offering $1.17 and $4.40. SportingBet is also taking bets on 14 individual seats, with the odds currently on offer converting into the following percentages. Note that this indicates the likelihood of winning the seat, rather than predicted vote share.

• The blog that matters in NSW Herald of Sydney - Czech out the Green punter at ABC - Spin cycle; [Larva to Butterfly; Wizard of Oz Politics ]
• · The Premier, Bob Carr, is poised to use his historic win of a third four-year term to conduct a definitive shake-out of his cabinet - including the creation of super ministries - and embark on a wave of far-reaching reforms 2003 of past years; I make my debut in the NSW Election Campaign
• · Exclusives by Kelvin Bissett: ; Poll Bludger 1
• · · Master Poll Bludger; Iemma and Debnam are blogging on the Daily Telegraph site I will never forget Macquarie Fields’, Peter Debnam