Sunday, October 30, 2016

US: New World With Cities on the Hill


Fool Me Once Jacobin ... US Election 2016 a week or so  to go so is it time for a quote that speaks in every political culture ...

In Defense of Politics, Now More Than Ever NYT


I enjoy democracy immensely. It is incomparably idiotic, and hence incomparably amusing. Does it exalt dunderheads, cowards, trimmers, frauds, cads? Then the pain of seeing them go up is balanced and obliterated by the joy of seeing them come down. Is it inordinately wasteful, extravagant, dishonest? Then so is every other form of government: all alike are enemies to laborious and virtuous men. Is rascality at the very heart of it? Well, we have borne that rascality since 1776, and continue to survive. In the long run, it may turn out that rascality is necessary to human government, and even to civilization itself – that civilization, at bottom, is nothing but a colossal swindle. I do not know: I report only that when the suckers are running well the spectacle is infinitely exhilarating. But I am, it may be, a somewhat malicious man: my sympathies, when it comes to suckers, tend to be coy. What I can’t make out is how any man can believe in democracy who feels for and with them, and is pained when they are debauched and made a show of.  

“We have never seen someone who is broadly regarded as a history-shattering, precedent-making, dangerous candidate who could change the patterns of history that have prevailed since the election of Abraham Lincoln in 1860,” Lichtman said...

“The U.S. Census Bureau released today selected characteristics of the citizen voting-age population from the 2015 American Community Survey for all U.S. states and congressional districts. These characteristics include selected age groups, sex, race, Hispanic origin, educational attainment, poverty status and household income.”




If you aren't familiar with his somewhat unique prediction system, here are the basics: The keys to the White House, he says, are a set of 13 true/false statements. If six of them are 
false, the incumbent party loses the presidency. His system has correctly predicted the 
winner of the popular vote in every U.S. presidential election since 1984   Our first interview went into the keys more in-depth, and in September he said the keys were settled enough to make an official prediction of a Democratic loss and a Trump win.  It's Morning In America:  Professor who’s predicted 30 years of presidential elections correctly is doubling down on a Trump win Professor of Prediction 30 Years: 1984 - 2016

We've still got about a week and a half left before Election Day, but artificial intelligence has spoken. MogIA, which analyzes data from Google, Twitter, and Facebook, predicts that Donald Trump will win when votes are cast on November 8.  According to CNBC, MogIA accurately predicted the previous three presidential elections, and found that Trump has more public engagement — a number gathered by looking at Facebook Live and Twitter — than Obama did in 2008. This is concerning, yes, but it's hard not to doubt the AI's finding.

Billionaire businessman and NBA owner Mark Cuban, for one, thinks the stock market will crash if Trump is elected, while renowned bond investor Jeffrey Gundlach of DoubleLine thinks a potential Trump victory could threaten the global economy—even though he believes Trump will win.



Via BC: Puritan "city on a hill" beckoned on the horizon of the New World, religious faith and belief have forged America's ideals, molded its identity and shaped its sense of mission at home and abroad. God in America and the New World

Realities of Politics during elections in 1984 ... 

Election Ad by Republican Ronald Reagan

CODA: CRS Reports & Analysis Legal Sidebar – Partisan Political Activities and Federal Workers: Questions in the 2016 Election, 10/20/16
“As Election Day nears, interest in the Hatch Act’s regulation of government employees’ political activities peaks, with a number of issues raising congressional interest. Are federal officials permitted to appear with candidates for partisan political election at public events? Can federal entities endorse a candidate for partisan political election? The following Q&A addresses the issues implicated by these questions…”




How Inequality Found a Political Voice Project Syndicate 

Day of the Dead: Setting MEdia DragonS For Failure

“If you are the anvil, be patient. If you are the hammer; strike.”
~ a son of a carpenter

“Once we accept our limits, we go beyond them ...
~ Albert Einstein


Charles Wolf Jr., a leading economist and founding dean of what is now the Pardee RAND Graduate School who was regarded as one of the intellectual founders of modern policy analysis, has died. He was 92... Peter Boettke on Bob Tollison

In the first light of dawn, photographer Mats Andersson used black and white to capture the melancholy moment following the death of this Eurasian Pygmy Owl’s partner. The pair had accompanied Andersson on his daily walks through the forest during the early spring. “The owl’s resting posture reflected my sadness for its lost companion,” he says
An owl in mourning ...

Sharbat Gula, 20 years later (presently detained in Pakistan). Just haunting.
Just haunting

Peter Thiel’s Politics Become a Deal-Killer in Silicon Valley Bloomberg

Halloween #ScaryStoriesIn5Words: You Have To Teach Tax

 

You could not write a joke as good as Joe Hockey.

He really takes the cake.
This is the guy who, as treasurer, exhorted Australians to be “lifters not leaners.” Who riffed on the poor not being bothered by fuel taxes since they don’t own cars and can’t go anywhere, anyway. Who lectured the rest of us about the “end of the age of entitlement’’ – as if it’s our fault the Federal budget is borked.
Age of entitlement isn’t over for Joe Hockey who bills taxpayers for babysitters


Philip Roth  Gives His Book Collection To The Newark Public Library

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Mr. Roth’s library, some 4,000 volumes, is now stored mostly at his house in northwest Connecticut, where it has more or less taken over the premises. A room at the back of the house has been given over to nonfiction. It has library shelves, library lighting — everything except a librarian, Mr. Roth said recently on the phone from his New York apartment.


Matt Trueman: “She’s clearly been pushed, but it’s the speed that’s so shocking. The decision comes at the end of her very first season … Rice has challenged a hell of a lot in a short space of time – too much, too soon it now seems.”Emma Rice's departure is not about lighting

As a Catholic, and knowing myself reasonably well, I'm pinning my 

Great job. You’re fired Shakespeare’s Globe yesterday released a baffling public statement. It praised Emma Rice, its new artistic director, for the creative, critical and commercial success of her first season, her achievement in attracting new,  diverse audiences...  AJBlog: Performance Monkey

“Knowledge has entertained me and it has shaped me and it has failed me,” she writes in another essay here, “Winter Hours.” “Something in me still starves. In what is probably the most serious inquiry of my life, I have begun to look past reason, past the provable, in other directions. Now I think there is only one subject worth my attention and that is the precognition of the spiritual side of the world and, within this recognition, the condition of my own spiritual state. I am not talking about having faith necessarily, although one hopes to. What I mean by spirituality is not theology, but attitude.” Upstream place poem Mary Oliver in her arena of delight

What is Paul Romer doing at the World Bank?

Architect Of Failure ...


Wherever you go, you can't get rid of yourself ...  

Pretending to Grownup card game:

As a certain ancient Greek is reputed to have said, "the unexamined life is not worth living". Hopefully most of us have lives worth some examination ...

I feel more that the world failed me. I didn't vote for shit cyberdystopia ruled by idiots, for idiots. All my own perceived failures are probably because I set the bar two high and being an extremist it was "all or nothing". That Nobel Prize I was expecting is receding into the distance ;-) 


I turn 52 next week, and I have a confession to make: I feel like a complete failure at "adulting". Adulting, loosely defined, is that set of activities and behaviours which we judge to be characteristics of grown-ups. You can stop now and make your own list: what I'm going to suggest, speculatively, is that you probably feel like a failure at adulting too. (If you don't, you can stop reading here.) I'm not alone in this self-defined failure. Lots of people I know, my own age and younger, also admit to feeling like failed adults: "I haven't grown up" is merely the tense-shifted version of "I don't want to grow up". But what does this really mean?

NEWS YOU CAN USE: Lifting weights could make you more intelligent, study suggests.
Nassim Taleb “He doesn’t even deadlift.”
 Charles Stross' life:


I suspect that when I was a pre-teen I internalized a model of adult behaviour that is familiar to anyone under 30 today mostly from TV shows like Mad Men. Men wore suits and hats and went out to work, women wore dresses and stayed home to raise kids, the trappings of material success included cars and maybe a black and white television and a vacuum cleaner (a luxury item in 1950s UK) and air travel was exotic.  ...
So if you're slouched in front of your laptop wearing a hoodie and joggers while listening to 80s bubblegum pop on a streaming audio channel, and if you've got a collection of bobble-heads or models of the Starship Enterprise on your desk, and your kids (assuming you have any) are wearing retro fashions that remind you of photos of your parents back when they were dating, relax: you are not a failure! 


As Peggy Noonan recently wrote, “It’s the big fact of American life now, isn’t it? That we are patronized by our inferiors.”


 Australian swimmer thanks fan who raised alarm over mole
  male_wood_duck_waterfowl_bird
Joel Kotkin: Trump Will Go Away, but the Anger He’s Stirred Up Is Just Getting Started 


Ian Burrell – “The British Library is becoming a modern news publisher. Its expertise in the field of journalism is immense. The home of one of the greatest newspaper archives in the world, amounting to more than 15m pages of news, it also houses The Newsroom, a permanent resource charting the evolution of news in broadcast, print and digital media. And it is in digital publishing that this institution is going through a transformation, producing its own articles, live streams and video clips for a worldwide audience. It’s a symbol of how almost all of us – companies, institutions, individuals – are contributors to contemporary media, even if only via a basic home page or Facebook status update. In the case of the British Library, it’s much more than that…”

 Johns Hopkins Medicine news: “When practicing and learning a new skill, making slight changes during repeat practice sessions may help people master the skill faster than practicing the task in precisely the same way, Johns Hopkins researchers report. In a study of 86 healthy volunteers asked to learn a computer-based motor skill, those who quickly adjusted to a modified practice session the second time around performed better than when repeating their original task, the researchers found. The results support the idea that a process called reconsolidation, in which existing memories are recalled and modified with new knowledge, plays a key role in the strengthening of motor skills, says senior study author Pablo A. Celnik, M.D., professor of physical medicine and rehabilitation at the Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine. “What we found is if you practice a slightly modified version of a task you want to master, you actually learn more and faster than if you just keep practicing the exact same thing multiple times in a row,” says Celnik. The work, described in the Jan. 28 edition of the journal Current Biology, has implications not only for leisure skills, like learning to play a musical instrument or a sport, but also for helping patients with stroke and other neurological conditions regain lost motor function, he says. “Our results are important because little was known before about how reconsolidation works in relation to motor skill development. This shows how simple manipulations during training can lead to more rapid and larger motor skill gains because of reconsolidation,” says Celnik. “The goal is to develop novel behavioral interventions and training schedules that give people more improvement for the same amount of practice time.””

Dan Gillmor: NYT's smart acquisition of 's shows that bootstrapped verticals are a -- maybe the -- way to go for journalism startups. Successful Dragons

Pew – “In a political environment defined by widespread polarization and partisan animosity, even simple conversations can go awry when the subject turns to politics. In their in-person interactions, Americans can (and often do) attempt to steer clear of those with whom they strongly disagree. But online social media environments present new challenges. In these spaces, users can encounter statements they might consider highly contentious or extremely offensive – even when they make no effort to actively seek out this material. Similarly, political arguments can encroach into users’ lives when comment streams on otherwise unrelated topics devolve into flame wars or partisan bickering. Navigating these interactions can be particularly fraught in light of the complex mix of close friends, family members, distant acquaintances, professional connections and public figures that make up many users’ online networks. A new Pew Research Center survey of U.S. adults finds that political debate and discussion is indeed a regular fact of digital life for many social media users, and some politically active users enjoy the heated discussions and opportunities for engagement that this mix of social media and politics facilitates. But a larger share expresses annoyance and aggravation at the tone and content of the political interactions they witness on these platforms…”

The entire continent of Australia sways (a little) with the weather

New York Post op-ed: Obama Told Us He’s Honorable — But He’s Just Another Liar, by Kyle Smith 

From Fight Club to Book Club: Dissecting FERRANTE

After the Girl in the Train movie the powerful BOOK Club members discussed the books by Elena especially the Friend as there is always only UNO good friend in our lives :-)  Morretti public diner bellow the Palace at the Little Italy creates unique atmosphere for all things Italian ;-) [ Knizka Klub all roads lead to Mittleurope ]

We have finally got around to reading My Brilliant Friend by Elena Ferrante. Unless you have been living under the proverbial rock, you will already know that this is the first of the four ‘Neapolitan’ novels written by Ferrante, a series that has propelled the author to literary superstardom over the last few years... The books follow the friendship of two women, Lila and our narrator Lenù, with the first novel covering their childhood and adolescence, up to the age of 16. They live in a run-down neighbourhood of Naples, where money is scarce and expectations for the future are no higher than either staying in the neighbourhood and working in the family business or marrying well Lenù and Lila’s friendship is peppered with acts of kindness and cruelty can be carried out at almost the same time, and the relationship can easily teeter between being a positive and negative force ...

Elena Ferrante ( aka Anita Raja ) published her first book in 1992, a pivotal year for the country. This was when inquiries into corruption transformed the entire political system. A dramatisation of these events, simply called 1992 is currently being broadcast in Italy. Nostalgic as it sounds, it is successful.
People are talking about it; they like to think about a past which was surely more promising than the present.
In the last 23 years Elena Ferrante went from the acerbic Troubling Love to the impressive The Lost Daughter. She changed, matured, evolved, and succeeded while remaining herself. She kept her promises. This could be hard to forgive in a country which has not even started coming to terms with its lost two decades.
Elena Ferrante versus Little Leichhardt Italy ( Ludwig came from Bohemian part of Prussia)





‘It Hit Me Right In The Chest, It’s Still Hitting Me’: Elena Ferrante On The Most Terrible Sentence In ‘Madame Bovary’


“I certainly saw myself in Berthe Bovary, Emma and Charles’s daughter, and felt a jolt. I knew that I had my eyes on a page, I could see the words clearly, yet it seemed to me that I had approached my mother just as Berthe tried to approach Emma.” WHAT AN UGLY CHILD SHE IS

Raja, Gatti reported, is the daughter of a [see also additional background] German-born Jewish woman named Golda Frieda Petzenbaum who escaped the Holocaust to Milan with her family, before fleeing to Switzerland. Petzenbaum was a refugee for two years before she was reunited with her family in Naples, where they eventually settled.

Raja’s father was a Neapolitan magistrate, and they moved to Rome when she was three. Such is the nature of Ferrante’s writing that many fans have assumed her novels must have been born out of a tough Neapolitan childhood, where, like her protagonist Elena, she would have suffered under the claustrophobia of living in an impoverished neighbourhood and witnessed the savagery of the Camorra before escaping and finding success as a writer. Unmasking of My Brilliant Mate


Saturday, October 29, 2016

WANT TO LIVE LONGER? READ A BOOK - COLD RIVER


"The greatest trick that the banks ever pulled, was to convince the population that it was the politicians who were in control..."   courtesy of BC - The Fearless Fishhead On 29 October 2016 AD XXIX - X - MMXVI

The Three Marina Abramovićs

marina
“As she likes to say herself, there are three Marina Abramovićs: Warrior Marina (who can endure any pain and scream louder than anybody else), Spiritual Marina (who can endure any amount of stillness and remain silent longer than anybody else) and Bullshit Marina (who adores celebrity and likes to talk about fickle men and why she sometimes feels fat and ugly).”


Judging fiction is easier said than done. Cyril Connolly, formerly of the Observer, once wrote that “the great difficulty in reviewing new novels is to maintain a double standard – one to judge novels as fiction and the other as literature. Luckily, very few novels pretend to be literature, but when they do it is necessary to slate them by one rule and praise them by another.” In recent memory, several Booker panels have given masterclasses in the fine art of making a sow’s ear out of a silk purse.  Man Booker prize 2016: the fine line between fiction and literature The Guardian (UK)


10 ways to engage readers with alternative story forms

FINDING a reliable way of timing the market is something that has eluded the greatest investment minds in history. Aremagazine covers a contrarian indicator?


CHAMPAGNE corks must have been popping ... Animal Farm in America. How an unknown democratic socialist rode the acclaim for his "little squib" of a fable to become the leading literary Cold Warrior 

 Of all of the wonderful and even magical things reading can do for us, the most important has seldom been suspected. According to a study that covered a large control group over many years, the reading of books can lengthen your life. From the New York Times:

Compared with those who did not read books, those who read for up to three and a half hours a week were 17 percent less likely to die over 12 years of follow-up, and those who read more than that were 23 percent less likely to die. Book readers lived an average of almost two years longer than those who did not read at all.

The New York Times piece is here. You can see the highlights of the study on Science Direct here

Geoffrey Bowcock had no experience as a spy. But he knew how to drink, which qualified him to seduce Andrey Duchkov, a 30-year-old Soviet diplomat who arrived in Canberra in the winter of 1977 and straight into the sights of the Australian Security Intelligence Organisation.
Even in quiet Canberra, the Cold War was heating up. In January 1976, there were well over 100 Soviet bloc officials in Australia, and ASIO suspected 40 of them were intelligence agents.
The domestic spy agency was under pressure to move beyond its speciality of tracking Australian communists. "Yet ASIO's surveillance capability remained negligible and its radio communications were almost certainly monitored by the Soviets," according to The Secret Cold War, the third volume of the agency's official history, written by Australian National University historians John Blaxland and Rhys Crawley.
The ASIO plan to use beer, boats and vodka to turn Soviet diplomat into a spy

Celebrating local literature via my loving spies in Perth

How to find that break-your-heart detail for your story


You could not write a joke as good as  (X)...

Infographic, The Big Five US Trade Book Publishers and Their Imprints, “Rectangles are either divisions, groups, imprints or publishing lines.” This is the work of Ali Almossawi [who “works on the data science team at Mozilla and is an alumnus of MIT’s Engineering Systems Division (M.S.) and Carnegie Mellon’s School of Computer Science (M.S.) “]  The author provided the source code.

“The 54-year-old Los Angeles-born writer won for The Sellout, a laugh-out-loud novel whose main character wants to assert his African American identity by, outrageously and transgressively, bringing back slavery and segregation.” Paul Beatty Is First American To Win Man Booker Prize

Learning to cope with chronic pain

“Like the soil we walk on, most of the words we speak and write hide secret kinds of life.”  Ingenious misspellings

Slang in digital age

NATO seeks troops to deter Russia on eastern flank Reuters 



AARP sues U.S. agency over employee wellness programs Reuters Recycled teenagers are comsidered stupid and according to AC DC thry just don’t work and ... ;-)
Revisiting - At Five Hours, Wim Wenders’s Full ‘Until the End of the World’ Is a Dream Odyssey