WWI started with an assassination of some cat loving Duke ... then the domino effect took place from the Croatian town of Sarajevo ...
Turkish jet company blames rogue employee for Ghosn escape FT
Russia’s Resurgence: Prospects for Stability in U.S.-Russia Relations putting Trust in Putin Council on Foreign Relations
Boris Johnson summons ministers for crisis meeting as Iran threatens to kill British soldiers as ‘collateral damage’ in escalating standoff with Donald Trump over killing of Soleimani Daily Mail
Daniel Drezner on Iran. And further observations on Iran. And Thomas Friedman on the killing (NYT). How the kill decision was made. Last night I watched 3 Faces, a remarkable Iranian movie by Jafar Panahi.
I spent New Year’s trapped by Australian bushfires that looked like a scene from a warzone Business Insider. Photo essay, takes time for page to build.
U.S. Killing of Soleimani Leaves Trump ‘Totally Unpredictable’ Bloomberg. Bringing “not agreement-capable” to new heights.
As Tensions With Iran Escalated, Trump Opted for Most Extreme Measure NYT (Furzy Mouse). “They didn’t think he would take it. In the wars waged since the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, Pentagon officials have often offered improbable options to presidents to make other possibilities appear more palatable.” Dear Lord. “Order anything on the menu.No, not that!”
Trump Kills Iran’s Most Overrated Warrior Thomas Friedman, NYT. The Moustache of Understanding weighs in.
Trump Is Doing the Bidding of Washington’s Most Vile Cabal Jeremy Scahill, The Intercept
Mar-a-Lago Guests and Israel Had More Prior Knowledge of Strike on Soleimani Than Democratic Leaders Rolling Stone
Analysis and prediction:
Israelis quietly hail Soleimani killing as they brace for retaliation WaPo. I don’t know how quiet the hailing is, when it’s done from WaPo’s front page.
Iranian Revenge Will Be A Dish Best Served Cold Scott Ritter, The American Conservative
How to Avoid Another War in the Middle East Foreign Affairs
Iraq’s parliament may be about to do President Trump a big fat favor The Atlantic Council
U.S. Official Central to Hawkish Iran Policies Departs NSCBloomberg. Note the last paragraph.
TWO NEW YORKERS IN ONE!
Shot:
Dictatorship has, in one sense, been the default condition of humanity. The basic governmental setup since the dawn of civilization could be summarized, simply, as taking orders from the boss. Big chiefs, almost invariably male, tell their underlings what to do, and they do it, or they are killed. Sometimes this is costumed in communal decision-making, by a band of local bosses or wise men, but even the most collegial department must have a chairman: a capo di tutti capi respects the other capi, as kings in England were made to respect the lords, but the capo is still the capo and the king is still the king. Although the arrangement can be dressed up in impressive clothing and nice sets—triumphal Roman arches or the fountains of Versailles—the basic facts don’t alter. Dropped down at random in history, we are all as likely as not to be members of the Soprano crew, waiting outside Satriale’s Pork Store.Only in the presence of an alternative—the various movements for shared self-government that descend from the Enlightenment—has any other arrangement really been imagined. As the counter-reaction to Enlightenment liberalism swept through the early decades of the twentieth century, dictators, properly so called, had to adopt rituals that were different from those of the kings and the emperors who preceded them. The absence of a plausible inherited myth and the need to create monuments and ceremonies that were both popular and intimidating led to new public styles of leadership. All these converged in a single cult style among dictators.That, more or less, is the thesis of Frank Dikötter’s new book, “How to Be a Dictator: The Cult of Personality in the Twentieth Century” (Bloomsbury). Dikötter—who, given his subject, has a wonderfully suggestive, Nabokovian name—is a Dutch-born professor of history at the University of Hong Kong; he has previously written about the history of China under Mao, debunking, at scholarly length and with a kind of testy impatience, the myth of Mao as an essentially benevolent leader. “How to Be a Dictator” takes off from a conviction, no doubt born of his Mao studies, that a tragic amnesia about what ideologues in power are like has taken hold of too many minds amid the current “crisis of liberalism.” And so he attempts a sort of anatomy of authoritarianism, large and small, from Mao to Papa Doc Duvalier.
—“The Field Guide to Tyranny: Dictators tend to share the same ugly manner because all seek the same effect: not charm but intimidation,” the New Yorker, December 16th.
Chaser:
Suleimani, a flamboyant former construction worker and bodybuilder with snowy white hair, a dapper beard, and arching salt-and-pepper eyebrows, gained notice during the eight-year war with Iraq, in the nineteen eighties. He rose through the Revolutionary Guard to become head of the Quds Force—an Iranian unit of commandos comparable to the U.S. SEALs, Delta Force, and Rangers combined—in 1998. He was the most feared and most admired military leader in the region. He famously rallied followers with flowery jihadi rhetoric about the glories of martyrdom. “The war front is mankind’s lost paradise,” Suleimani was quoted as saying, in 2009. “One type of paradise that is portrayed for mankind is streams, beautiful nymphs and greeneries. But there is another kind of paradise.” The front, he said, was “the lost paradise of the human beings.” Thousands of followers died under his leadership.
—“The Killing of Qassem Suleimani Is Tantamount to an Act of War,” the New Yorker, yesterday.
Background, recalling that Soleimani was in Iraq when we whacked him. As are we:
Our Embassy in Baghdad – TTG Sic Semper Tyrannis
How The US Was Hoist By Its Own Petard In Iraq And The Wishful Thinking Of Its Thinktanks. Elijah J. Magnier. Published before Trump’s strike.
Is Iran’s Military the Model for America’s Adversaries? Military.com. Capabilities for Iranian retaliation.
US kills Iran’s most powerful general in Baghdad airstrike AP. “Most powerful general” understates Soleimani’s position.
Iran Loses Its Indispensable Man The Atlantic and (from 2013) The Shadow Commander The New Yorker
Well, that escalated quickly Foreign Exchanges. Good summary.
Trump Warns Iran as Risk of Wider Armed Conflict Grows NYT. The lead, before the strike: “Administration officials say they are restoring ‘deterrence’ against Iran, but the president’s reluctance to use force in the Middle East may be creating an opening for Tehran.” Usual suspects gotta usual suspect.
Lockheed Martin, Boeing among the 20 companies profiting the most from warUSA Today
Lockheed Martin, Boeing among the 20 companies profiting the most from warUSA Today