Jozef Imrich, name worthy of Kafka, has his finger on the pulse of any irony of interest and shares his findings to keep you in-the-know with the savviest trend setters and infomaniacs.
''I want to stay as close to the edge as I can without going over. Out on the edge you see all kinds of things you can't see from the center.''
-Kurt Vonnegut
Trump’s order strips job security from almost 8,000 federal positions. Under Office of Personnel Management regulations, employees moved into a new job classification—known as Schedule Policy/Career—lose many of the procedural protections most federal workers have, including the right to appeal their removal to an independent body.
A slew of job types could be reclassifiedat the IRS and its legal arm, according to an appendix released by the White House. More are on the list for the Treasury Department. IRS workers who are senior advisors, human resource specialists, and program managers are among those who could be impacted. For the IRS’s chief counsel office, attorney advisors, senior level counselors to the commissioner, counselor to the general counselor, and senior legal advisor for regulatory affairs will be reclassified.
A fashionable theory of how the rich avoid taxes captures something real—but it misses what’s mostly going on. Consider two of the wealthiest billionaires in the US: Jeff Bezos and Elon Musk. The theory says they never sell their stock and never draw a real salary. Instead, they borrow against their appreciated shares to finance yachts, jets, and everything in between. When they die they’ll pass their unsold stock to heirs on a “stepped-up” tax basis, resetting the stock’s value to its price at their death and wiping out any capital gains during their ownership.
Follow the fear and the money: Stock deals Recorded on Financial Disclosures
Jimmy Carter (1977-1981): 0
Ronald Reagan (1981-1989): 0
George H. Bush (1989-1993): 0
Bill Clinton (1993-2001): 0
George W. Bush (2001-2009): 0
Barack Obama (2009-2017): 0
Donald Trump (2017-2021): 0
Joe Biden (2021-2025): 0
Donald Trump (2025-): 3,642
Peter Hartcher is political editor and international editor of The Sydney Morning Herald and The Age.Connect via email.
It has come to this. Australians now trust the US president only as much as they trust the ruler of the Chinese Communist Party. And not because they think Xi Jinping is any great paragon of virtue. Most Australians recognise that Xi’s China is repressive at home and a long-term military threat to Australia, according to the latest annualLowy Institutepoll.
The driver of distrust is the fact that Donald Trump has done so much damage to the world. Only 21 per cent of Australians trust him to do the right thing in world affairs, according to the poll.
Which is identical, statistically speaking, to the 20 per cent who trust Xi to do the right thing. The margin of error in the poll, which surveys about 2000 Australians on their feelings about the world each year, is 2.2 per cent.
Australians are in a dark and fearful mood, as the poll confirms. The collapse in trust in the US president is just one of the reasons. The Lowy poll quantifies others, too. And, while some are threats from abroad, others are seen as threats from within.
A record 55 per cent of people say that Australia has too many immigrants. The proportion who look on cultural diversity as something “positive” is still a large 73 per cent but has fallen a whopping 20 percentage points over two years. This is the Australia that Pauline Hanson has been waiting for.
For the first time in the poll’s history, most Australians report feeling “unsafe” in the world. The 53 per cent who say so today is even more than the 50 per cent proportion who said so at the outset of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Anxiety among voters has presented a political opportunity for Pauline Hanson.ALEX ELLINGHAUSEN
The greatest perceived threats? Global economic downturn, cyberattack, authoritarian states, terrorism and a possible US-China war were all cited by majorities.
So perhaps it’s not entirely surprising that support for an Australian nuclear weapon is also rising. Thirty-nine per cent are in favour, an increase of three points over four years, a result that Lowy’s director of international security, Sam Roggeveen, finds “attention-getting”.
The trust rating for Trump is “the lowest level of confidence in any US president in the history of Lowy Institute polling” which began 21 years ago, say the pollsters. The only leaders we trust less, from a list of 14, are Russia’s Vladimir Putin and North Korea’s Kim Jong-un.
And Trump has so incompetently conducted his war on Iran that the much smaller nation has “humiliated” the US, as German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has said. Trump candidly conceded on the weekend that, unless Iran lifted its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, there could be a “global depression” with share prices at 1929 levels.
No wonder, then, that eight in 10 Australians disapprove of the way Trump has conducted his pointless war.
Yet Australians are not rejecting the US. On the contrary, support for the US alliance remains robust at 73 per cent, down by a relatively modest 7 points since last year.
The trust rating for Donald Trump is “the lowest level of confidence in any US president in the history of Lowy Institute polling”,AP PHOTO/JULIA DEMAREE NIKHINSON
In a fascinating finding, Australians may be holding our noses against the bad odour of the US leader, yet we continue to embrace the country he leads even if Japan, New Zealand and the UK all score higher on the trust scale.
Similarly, Australians keenly discern the difference between the current US president and the long-term AUKUS pact. Public support for the subs-and-tech agreement is essentially unchanged at 68 per cent, up by 1 point since last year.
Pro-AUKUS sentiment is proving implacable to time and to criticism. It has never fallen below 65 per cent in the Lowy poll. “It’s remarkable that AUKUS support has remained solid since it was announced in 2022,” observes Roggeveen.
Indeed. It will frustrate Australia’s two leading apologists for the Chinese Communist Party, Paul Keating and Bob Carr, as well as the Greens and Malcolm Turnbull, that their ceaseless five-year campaign against the nuclear submarine project has made no difference.
One reason is that, while public distrust of Trump is profound, fear of China is perhaps more potent in posing the greater direct threat.
Australians, by a majority of 54 per cent, expect that China will displace the US as the dominant superpower. Only three in 10 expect America to remain preponderant. Perhaps for this reason, respondents say that Australia’s relationship with China is more important than its relationship with the US. This is a first in the Lowy series, a threshold moment in Australian sentiment.
Yes, most people see the trading relationship as very important, but they are apprehensive about the intentions of the People’s Republic.
Most Australians expect China to pose a military threat to Australia within 20 years, 7 percentage points fewer than last year but still a substantial majority of 62 per cent.
Is this an irrational fear? “I think Australians are right to be worried about the direction of both superpowers,” says Roggeveen, a stance he describes as “dual scepticism”.
“The military balance has shifted dramatically over the last decade and will continue over the next decade. There’s currently no prospect of the US reversing the trend.”
Roggeveen published a sobering research paper last week. It projects that China will have 25 nuclear-powered attack submarines in the water within 10 years, and the capacity to build three to four more per year. “All are likely to deploy cruise missiles or perhaps hypersonic missiles,” he writes. He expects Beijing will also have 35 conventional subs.
Beijing’s military budget is expected to be around a trillion US dollars a year, similar to US spending today, the paper finds. It reports that: “China’s shipbuilding capacity is more than 200 times greater than that of the US. China is the only country in the world producing heavy bombers. It is the only country in the world with two fifth-generation jet fighter designs in production and two sixth-generation designs conducting flight tests. China is expected to triple the size of its nuclear weapons arsenal by 2035. All this is occurring as China’s ambitions as a regional and global power expand.”
Roggeveen, with masterful understatement, advises that Australia “requires a serious response in our defence planning”.
Australia has become a frightened country. Alas, there is much to be frightened of.
Peter Hartcher is both international and political editor. His political column appears on Saturdays.
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The former KPMG executive who revealed allegations that senior staff at the firm had used confidential material from major companies to win work says speaking out has had devastating consequences.
In documents published by a parliamentary committee investigating the anonymous whistleblower’s allegations – several of which have been confirmed to be true – the ex-KPMG employee detailed the strategies allegedly used against them.
“If I were asked, genuinely, whether I would do this again, my answer would be no,” he wrote. “Not because the matters were not worth raising, and not because I regret raising them, but because of what I now know, and could not have known then, about what disclosing them at a firm like KPMG, in the legal and regulatory environment that exists in Australia today, actually involves.”
The whistleblower informed KPMG of the allegations, which included that senior staff had accessed board papers from Lendlease and used them to help win work from Westpac, in 2024 but has said he faced years of obfuscation and retaliation from the consultancy firm.
Mid-tier audit firms are circling to capture expiring KPMG contracts worth nearly $200 million amid the firm's ban from bidding for new federal contracts. However, a current loophole in the fine print may hinder those opportunities.
Billions lost to fraud, collectable debt doubled – and the Australian Taxation Office has somehow awarded itself a gold star for performance.
Liam Malone
Captain Kirk said ‘risk is our business’. At the ATO the mission is the same but the tax office fails to collect. Picture: CBS via Getty Images
James Tiberius Kirk, captain of the USS Enterprise in the hit TV show Star Trek once said: “Risk is our business.”
Risk is also the main business of the Australian Taxation Office.
Effective risk management is central to all organisations in the public and private sector.
The ATO’s main job is to protect the revenue. Fraud controls, fraud protection and investigations are central.
In recent years, the ATO has failed in preventing and responding to fraud, with the result that several billion dollars has gone out the door to fraudsters.
In addition, the ATO has failed in debt collection. The ATO collectable debt more than doubled in only a six-year period. Collectable debt as at June 30, 2019, was $26.5bn, and as at June 30, 2025, was $54.6bn. The ATO has largely tried to blame the Covid years for this blowout, but this is not credible, or acceptable.
Yet the Tax Commissioner, in a recent speech posted to the ATO website, stated that: “An APS review last year confirmed the ATO is a high performing agency.”
Mr Tax Commissioner, with respect, are you serious?
ATO commissioner Rob Heferen and ASIC commissioner Kate O'Rourke. Picture: John Feder
Approximately $2bn have gone out the door to fraudsters in 2022-23, and collectable debt has doubled.
I guess it helps when your mate marks your homework, in this case an Australian public service review of an Australian public service agency – the Australian Taxation Office. What a convenient arrangement. Don’t worry about what taxpayers, tax agents and businesses think about your performance, just get a big tick from another part of the government bureaucracy.
After the massive fraud on the ATO by tens of thousands of individuals, the ATO was rightly subject to much attention and criticism in the media. The ATO rejected this criticism.
Indeed, in early 2022, an ATO senior executive service officer was quoted in the media that the ATO had “swooped in quickly” and stated that a “10 out of 10” effort was put in to stop fraudulent attempts.
If such a massive failure had occurred in the private sector, then it is highly likely that senior management would have been held accountable. Senior managers may have lost their positions. However, in the cosy world of the Australian public service this is not going to happen.
Perhaps it may be referred to as a “challenge” before, in due course, the self-congratulation culture continues. So, in 2025, only a few years after a massive fraud failure, the ATO is “a high performing agency”. What a remarkable turnaround.
The problem with the ATO and the wider APS is that the central focus of risk management is reputational risk. This is mostly about the organisation having a good public image, hence the frequent use of positive rhetoric – bureaucratic spin.
The loss of billions of dollars to fraud in recent years is due to a failure of systems, culture and most importantly, management.
The primary compliance products of the ATO are audits and reviews. The ATO tracks all information on audits and reviews through its case management system.
However, the ATO does not want the public to know those numbers and outcomes, as it refuses to report the information in its annual reports. So much for transparency.
ATO senior management concerns are all about the numbers of audits and reviews. The Inspector-General of Taxation (now known as the Tax Ombudsman) has made frequent criticism of a lack of ATO transparency.
In 2024, the Australian National Audit Office audit issued a damning report on the ATO, stating the ATO fraud framework was “not fit for purpose”.
The report made a number of recommendations. The ATO stated it was adopting the recommendations and hence all good, nothing to see here.
In fact, now only a few years later, the ATO is an alleged high performing agency.
Perhaps young people should consider pursuing a career in the APS senior executive service. The jobs are very well paid, and your career will be pretty much risk-free.
Good work if you can get it, so why take a risky path in business.
The silver medal for fraud failure goes to the ATO. The gold medal, of course, goes to the NDIS.
Liam Malone was an ATO auditor for a total of 19 years across two periods of service. His experience included leading audits and reviews of multinational company groups and serious noncompliance audit cases, including a secondment to the AFP investigating tax schemes. He also worked on small and medium business cases.
It might surprise people to realise just how little a majority of Australians earn. We are often told about average earnings and even average full-time earnings. But averages are not “the middle”. They are merely the sum of all earnings by all people working in Australia divided by the number of those workers.
What is the middle income for Australians? Each year, the ATO Taxation Statistics provide some insight into this topic, and this year’s release is particularly pertinent because it covers the 2023-24 financial year – the same one in which the government made changes to the Stage 3 tax cuts.
Six years ago, then opposition leader, Anthony Albanese, suggested that he did not “regard someone who’s earning $200,000 dollars a year as being from the top end of town”.
At the time, such a statement was pretty extraordinary from a Labor Party leader, given that in 2019-20, earnings of $200,000 would have put you in the top 4% of income earners in Australia.
But what about in the most recent figures? Is $200,000 still at the top end, or has it become common? After all, in January 2024, Anthony Albanese announced changes to the Stage 3 Tax cuts that would increase the top tax threshold to $190,000 and lift the 30% threshold to $135,000.
Where is middle Australia in all of this?
It might surprise people to realise just how little a majority of Australians earn.
We are often told about average earnings and even average full-time earnings. But averages are not “the middle”. They are merely the sum of all earnings by all people working in Australia divided by the number of those workers.
The old line is that if you had 5 people in a room, each earning $50,000, and a person came in who earned $6m a year, then, on average, everyone in the room would now be a millionaire ($6.25m/6 = $1.042m average).
We also know (as I wrote about here) that men earn a higher average salary in 96% of all occupations in Australia. This mean the average earnings of men is higher than the average earnings of women, and the same goes for full-time.
But the median earnings is the amount at which half earn less than, and half earn more than. (In the previous example, the median earnings remain $50,000, regardless of whether the person earning $6m is in the room or not – half earn $50,000 or less, and half earn $50,000 or more in both scenarios)
To work out the median, the ATO divides all 13.239m Australians who paid tax in 2023-24 into 100 blocks – called percentiles. So, the 132,399 Australians who earned the least amount are in the 1st (or lowest) percentile, and the 132,399 who earned the most are in the 100th (or top) percentile.
From this, we can work out where lies “middle Australia”.
In 2023-24, the median income was $72,794. Earning $169,664 put you in the top 10% and as for $200,000, that still had you earning more than 95% of all Australians. Pointedly, 25% earned less than $47,302, which was just above the full-time minimum wage of $45,905 for that year:
But the story doesn’t end there. Because men earn more than women, there are more men in the higher earning percentiles than there are women (and vice versa)
What this means is that half of women are below the 43rd income percentile and half of men are below the 58th percentile. In effect, if you are a woman and you earned the median income of $72,794, you earned more than most women, but a man earning that amount earned less than most men.
The end result is that for 2023-24, these are the following average and median earnings:
So, always be aware that when you hear a politician talk about average Australians, that is probably not a majority of them.