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Tuesday, January 28, 2025

If not Now, When? If Not Us, Who?


One thing about me is that I will fight Nazis until I’m six feet in the ground…


What a terrible era in which idiots govern the blind.

 ~ William Shakespeare, Julius Caesar


"It's never a good time to bow down to a tyrant." 

~ Jim Acosta


Just when I thought I was out, they pull me back in!” roars Michael Corleone in The Godfather: Part III. He wants to put his life of crime behind him and go legit, but circumstances conspire against him. It’s a frustration shared by tyrants. Being one, Marcel Dirsus says, is “like being stuck on a treadmill that one can never get off”.



This Is Why Dictatorships Fail The authors of the Constitution separated powers for a reason.


Rightwing populists will keep winning until we grasp this truth about human nature


To Save Democracy, Here’s a Playbook That Works

Poland pulled back from an authoritarian slide. What can the U.S. learn from its nonpartisan approach?


If not Now, When? If Not Us, Who? 

Prague's Second Spring

Like this ancient blog, my monograph, Cold River, was first published in 2002 

While this short story is even more ancient as it was originally published in March 1990 in The Current Affairs Bulletin, pp 28 to 29 

The recent developments in Eastern Europe, and particularly in Central Europe, have generated elation among all Czechoslovaks in Australia. The last six months have been exceptional in the extraordinary history of Czechoslovakia. 

Source: An unplanned stop at Ruzyni Prison, where Vaclav Havel had been imprisoned. Prague, 17 March 1990. Photography: Tomki Němec.

Once upon a bad time Czechoslovak bars, cafes and restaurants were described by tourists as depressing. Today they vibrate with cheerful conversations about the death of communism, and the birth of new hopes and new visions of the democratic future. To misquote what Karl Marx wrote in 1848, a ghost is haunting Eastern Europe: the ghost of democratic socialism that will bring these countries to free elections, free speech and a free economy.

It is obvious that the legitimacy of any political system imposed from the outside is precarious. Perestroika has only aggravated the deep-seated malaise it was meant to relieve. The imaginary problem of how to restructure communism is now giving way to the real problem of how to get rid of the system. Throughout the dying empire the pattern is the same and it is amazing that the Czechoslovakia of the 20th century is ending as it began, with democratic socialism ascendant. 

In 1916 the British historian R. W. Seton-Watson started, in close co-operation with exiled Czechoslovak leader, the philosopher and historian, Tomas Garrigue Masaryk, a weekly periodical called 'The New Europe.' 



Their vigorous and informed independent Czechoslovakia helped to redraw the map of Europe. At the end of the First World War the Austro-Hungarian Empire (Hapsburg) was dissolved. On 28 October 1918 the Czechoslovak Republic was established on the territory where in the 9th century AD Czechoslovaks had established their kingdom - the Great Moravian Empire. 


This lovely, compact country in the heart of Europe has always been an unfortunate land. Writer George Konrad sees a wholesale series of historical accidents in Central Europe as 'a series of old tricks':

'It was East-Central Europe's misfortune that it was unable to become independent after the collapse of Eastern, Tatar-Turkish hegemony, and, later, the German-Austrian hegemony of the West; and that it once again came under Eastern hegemony, this time Soviet Russian type. This is what prevents our area from exercising the Western option taken out a thousand years ago, even though that represents our profoundest historical inclinations.' 


History almost weighs too heavily on Czechoslovakia. At Munich Conference in 1938, Britain and France sold out Czechoslovakia to Adolf Hitler. After Second World War a conjunction of events played yet another 'dirty trick,' when the communists seized power in the Prague Coup of 1948. 


The Prague Spring of 1968 illustrated that communism, however disastrous, was resourceful enough to hold on to its monopoly of power. Most of the ideas Mikhail Gorbachev introduced through a program labelled 'perestroika' in 1985 were originally those of Czechchoslovak leader Alexander Dubcek. 


Disappointing results in industry fuelled speculation that restructuring of the system of economic management was inevitable. Dubcek initiated a wide-ranging program, known as 'socialism with human face,' to liberalise and democratise all aspects of communism. Once again Soviet military forces were in Czechoslovakia, but while in 1945 they came as liberators, in 1968 they were oppressors. 

In the land of Jan Hus and Jan Amos Komensky (Comenius), suppression could not last forever. In 1977 a coalition of intellectuals and former communists issued a manifesto entitled 'The Charter 77.' Among the hundreds of signatories who were arrested was the dissident playwright Vaclav Havel. 


The Roman Catholic Church played its most active role in 1987 when Cardinal Frantisek Tomasek presented the government with a 17-point statement, 'The Charter of Believers in Czechoslovakia,' on behalf of thousands of Christians in the country. As Kierkegaard once put it: 'Life is lived forward and understood backward.' For months, the Czechoslovak communist leaders watched in stony silence as Poland, Hungary and East Germany vibrated with people power. 

But the desire for freedom is contagious and sooner than anyone expected, first students and then the rest of the population in their thousands joined the peaceful revolution of 1989 that transformed the heart of Europe and the shape of history itself. From the making of the Civic Forum movement to the communists' acceptance of a government in which they would be a minority took exactly ten days. The dream has become a reality. 


When the history of the recent revolution in Eastern Europe is written, the prize for the swiftest and therefore most dramatic revolution will go to the Czechoslovak 'Velvet Revolution' of 1989. Students began the Velvet Revolution summed up their feeling in a large slogan draped around the 15 metre statue of king Vaclav (Wenceslas in English):

 'If not us, who? If not now, when?' 

On the New Year's Eve in Golden Prague, a city intoxicated with a sense of liberation, the dawn of the new era began: the era of possibilities. Six months ago it would have seemed mad to predict that Vaclav Havel would become president, or that Alexander Dubcek would become chairman of the Federal Assembly (Parliament), but today Czechs and Slovaks have a popular hero at the top. Vaclav Havel feels more of a dramatist and moralist than a politician. However, situations arise in history which do not allow someone of Havel's stature to refuse to play a political role and he has had to become a citizen-politician. 


The Presidential Castle (Hradcany) is a long way from the prison cells, where the uncrowned king Vaclav of Bohemia and his knights spent too much time in the last two decades. In a delicious act of irony and role reversal Jan Carnogursky, a Slovak Catholic who was behind prison bars only three weeks before he became deputy prime minister is, with Valtr Komarek and Marian Calfa, part of a team that supervises the Interior Ministry (which runs the police). 



The new 21 member Cabinet of Marian Calfa, the Prime Minister, still contains 10 communist places, but two or three of the communist ministers - notably Valtr Komarek - are now little more than nominal member. 



When Tomas Masaryk became the first President of the new Republic of Czechoslovakia between the wars, there flew above his presidential castle a flag bearing the motto: 'Truth Prevails,' and it is hardly a coincidence that the central theme of Havel's political writings has been 'To live in truth.' 


Havel's presidential address on New Year's Day could not have diverged more sharply from the usual practice of telling the nation that everything was fine in the best of socialist worlds. Havel summed up the achievements of the Velvet Revolution by paraphrasing the 17th century theologian Jan Komensky: 'Your government, my people, has returned to you.' 


For Havel what matters is the truth rather than the particular party or ideology which he might support. For Havel the issue of whether firms are privately owned or nationalised is no longer a basic question: what is important is whether their scale is human or not. 'The tragedy of the modern man,' Havel wrote to his wife in -In the Letters to Olga-, 'is not that he knows less and less about the meaning of life but that it bothers him less and less.' 

Unlike Poles, Hungarians and other Eastern Europeans, Czechoslovaks have a real democratic past. They are fortunate in that, unlike other Eastern Europeans, they are not faced with an imminent economic crisis. The death of communism has provided Czechoslovaks with political equality and spiritual dignity. Yet the reform processes under way are incomplete and fragile. 

The real danger now is that in a time of political and economic uncertainties, extremists may flourish. As B Webb of the Guardian observes: 'Exchanging brutalism for another is not what Havel and his kind have in mind nor do such prescriptions fit the democratic habit of the Czechoslovak temperament, formed long before communism's arrival to power.


The fundamental truth is that what succeeded in Czechoslovakia is not a capitalist system: it is democracy. 'The agenda is clear - we want democracy, we want to rejoin the European Community, we want social justice and free market economy. We may be socialists, but without these things there can be no socialism.' These were the words of Vaclav Havel on the night Communist Party Chief Milos Jakes resigned. 


The word socialism is treated very warily, since more than one communist politician has managed to abuse the concept of socialism. Still the democratic style of socialism practised in West Germany, the Scandinavian countries and Austria is proof that socialism can work.


In Prague and Bratislava people compare their Skodas with BMW, Volvo or Volswagen not with Cadillacs and Jaguars. The Austrian model is preferred to Wall Street's free for all. The Austrian model has worked with rather than against the free market, balancing the requirements of social justice and economic sufficiency. 

Havel and his team are busy taking steps to maximise such ultimate goals as the nation's political freedom, economic welfare and security. Czechoslovakia, like all nations, is guided by it national interests and like all nations it has no permanent friends, only permanent interests. Havel recently stated: 'We are a small country, nevertheless, in spite of this we used to be the spiritual crossroad of Europe. Why should we not become it again? Would it not be another contribution with which we could pay back help to others, which we shall need from them?' 

It is in the interests of both Western Europe and Eastern Europe to cultivate close political and economic relations. Their destinies are linked and indivisible. The problems facing Western Europe today cannot be solved unless the problems facing Eastern Europe are solved; in helping Eastern Europeans, people in the West are also helping themselves. 


If everything feels broken but strangely normal, the Soviet-era concept of hypernormalization can help

Systems are crumbling - but daily life continues. The dissonance is real


Return of the two Europes

Donald Trump’s turn to Moscow is restoring the geography of the Cold War

Europe must take charge of its own defence,” says the new geopolitical cliché, but that doesn’t make much sense. “Europe” consists of countries whose interests differ unrecognisably depending on their distance from Russia. Donald Trump’s turn to Moscow is restoring the geography of the cold war. We’re seeing the return of “eastern Europe” and “western Europe”.
European geography changes periodically. Take the exiled Czech writer Milan Kundera’s 1983 essay “The Kidnapped West”. At the time, the Soviet satellites Poland, Hungary and Czechoslovakia were referred to as “eastern Europe”. In fact, said Kundera, they were “central Europe” — part of the west until the Red Army “kidnapped” them in 1945.
“What is central Europe?” asked Kundera. “An uncertain zone of small nations between Russia and Germany.” And what was a “small nation”? “One whose very existence may be put in question at any moment; a small nation can disappear, and it knows it.” 
Central Europe’s small nations joined “eastern Europe” in 1945. After 1989, when communism fell, they joined “Europe”. In 1999, Hungary, Poland and the Czech Republic entered Nato and got a geographical upgrade: they joined the transatlantic west, which stretched from San Francisco to Warsaw. 
Last week, Trump seems to have dissolved the west. “This starts to look like the end of Nato,” says Steven Everts, who runs the European Union Institute for Security Studies. Nato’s Article 5 commits member states to defend any member that is attacked. The most likely location of attack is the Baltics. Asked by a journalist about Nato’s eastern flank, Trump said, “I’m very committed to Poland.” Asked next about the Baltics, he sidestepped making a commitment.
Where are Poland et al located now? They’re probably not in a single military entity called “Europe”. After all, neither western Europeans nor Americans have ever gone and died for eastern Europeans — not for Danzig in 1939, for Budapest in 1956, nor Prague in 1968. Western Europeans lived well while the Soviets ruled eastern Europe, and they could live well if Putin does. That means the notion of “European defence” is like an insurance scheme for people living in a hurricane zone, in which the people expected to pay most into the scheme don’t live in the zone…

The History Repeats and Rhymes  as Do Parables of the Sowers and Talents …


“If you're not careful, the newspapers will have you hating the people who are being oppressed, and loving the people who are doing the oppressing.”


I SHOULD HAVE SEEN THIS COMING When I joined the conservative movement in the 1980s, there were two types of people: those who cared earnestly about ideas, and those who wanted only to shock the left. The reactionary fringe has won

Until January 20, 2025, I didn’t realize how much of my very identity was built on this faith in my country’s goodness—on the idea that we Americans are partners in a grand and heroic enterprise, that our daily lives are ennobled by service to that cause. 

Since January 20, as I have watched America behave vilely—toward our friends in Canada and Mexico, toward our friends in Europe, toward the heroes in Ukraine and President Volodymyr Zelensky in the Oval Office—I’ve had trouble describing the anguish I’ve experienced. Grief? Shock? Like I’m living through some sort of hallucination? Maybe the best description for what I’m feeling is moral shame: To watch the loss of your nation’s honor is embarrassing and painful. 
George Orwell is a useful guide to what we’re witnessing. He understood that it is possible for people to seek power without having any vision of the good. “The Party seeks power entirely for its own sake,” an apparatchik says in 1984. 
“We are not interested in the good of others; we are interested solely in power. Not wealth or luxury or long life or happiness: only power, pure power.” How is power demonstrated? By making others suffer. Orwell’s character continues: “Obedience is not enough. Unless he is suffering, how can you be sure that he is obeying your will and not his own? Power is in inflicting pain and humiliation.”

Bsky CODA

In his parting message @jimacosta.bsky.social said we should all post: I will not give into the lies. I will not give into the fear.

~ Time for Truth and Decency


The Manufacturing of Dictators: We’ve Been Getting Human Nature Wrong for 100 Years



It’s almost as if knowledge production is inherently political and cultural …
The very concept of objective truth is fading out of the world. Lies will pass into history. 
~ George Orwell